U.S. Inflation Cools to 2.3% in April, Markets Rally on Easing Price Pressures
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose just 2.3% in April 2025 from a year earlier, marking the lowest annual inflation rate in over four years, according to data released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The reading was better than expected and has fueled optimism on Wall Street, with major indices rising sharply on hopes that the Federal Reserve may soon pivot toward rate cuts.
Headline CPI (YoY): +2.3%
Headline CPI (MoM): +0.3%
Core CPI (YoY): +2.8%
Core CPI (MoM): +0.2%
Food prices dropped slightly for the first time in nearly a year, with a 0.1% decline. Egg prices plummeted 12.7%—the largest monthly drop since 1984—while energy prices rose 0.7%, driven by higher electricity and natural gas costs.
Equity markets surged following the report:
S&P 500 (SPY): +0.96% to $588.60
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +1.78% to $516.91
Dow Jones (DIA): -0.38% to $422.64
Bond yields also dipped, reflecting growing investor sentiment that the Fed could hold off on further rate hikes—or even consider easing policy if disinflation continues.
Economists anticipate that the Fed will maintain its current rate stance in the near term but are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a rate cut later in 2025. Fed officials have signaled that they will remain data-dependent, requiring further confirmation that inflation is sustainably declining toward the 2% target.
The crypto market rallied on the inflation news:
Bitcoin (BTC): +2.35% to $104,281
Ethereum (ETH): +8.41% to $2,658.32
Lower inflation expectations generally favor risk assets, as investors anticipate a more dovish monetary policy environment.
April’s cooler CPI data gave investors and consumers a rare dose of good news, suggesting that the worst of inflation may be behind us. While it’s too early to declare victory, the trend could mark a turning point for monetary policy and market confidence heading into the summer.
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